This blog article follows the previous one to look into the depths of transformations to expect in AI projects. Here we will cover the most critical aspects of project inception, development, pitfalls and swamps - just to remind and to be careful while navigating the difficult road to AI project success.
Let’s start with the ordinary financial ratio – Return on Investment (ROI) into AI project. You may ask me why? I have three reasons for that:
To put it simply – the number of failed AI projects is times bigger than the number of successful ones as of today. Due to what – misaligned ROI? Any more reasons? Yes, agree – calculation of ROI under uncertainty is not an easy task. Very often companies started AI projects without proper assessment whether the project implementation will assure ANY positive return. So, how to calculate ROI under uncertainty in practice?
There are several ways to forecast, measure (and manage) return on investment, not just by dividing the expected return by the cost of the financial resources to be invested. Let me remind you a famous quotation of Management Guru Peter Drucker: “you can't manage what you don't measure”, so the problem is in measuring of return (benefits) from the project to launch. If you think about benefits, take into account non-financial issues, like accelerating main production, increasing reliability and safety, improving quality control, which in turn generates extra income. Enhancing technology (data processing), reducing the number of errors may bring you a lot of intangible benefits / assets, worth every dollar spent on improvements. What you need to do is actually plan your activities ahead of time and thus manage that ROI.
The next point to address is the reality of expectations. I mean the gap between what you promise and what you can actually deliver. I don’t stress on the level of human decency of those people who offer the AI project. At the kick-off meeting the whole set of stakeholders usually vote unanimously to accept the project. Everyone is happy that in a few months they will have a think machine, which is times faster, works perfectly well and allows to cut wages of a few very expensive analysts. What happens next? Weeks turn into months, months turn into quarters, and what's available right now? A smart engine that produces almost the same results as those analysts, sometimes unexpected and hard to explain.
Think about IBM’s Watson revolutionary AI for cancer diagnosis and treatment recommendations (hospitals quietly scaled back or discontinued its use), or Amazon’s internal AI system to screen job applicants (shut down due to discrimination against women), or Tesla’s FSD (Full Self Driving) system (still ongoing & not yet fully autonomous as of mid-2025). Inadequate or non-representative training data in critical domains, algorithmic decisions affecting lives, AI inherited bias from historical data, overpromising AI capabilities before technological maturity often endangers public trust—and lives.
So, what was wrong with all these mentioned above projects?
There is no simple answer, but I’ve got a few thoughts. Probably, something about core of AI. All AI projects face similar specific challenges compared to traditional IT projects. They indeed have unique complexities, such as:
2. Iterative and Experimental: Unlike deterministic systems, AI development is inherently iterative, often unpredictable due to data dependency, uncertainty in achievable metrics, and the need for experimentation to find optimal models. Thus, it differs fundamentally from standard Agile delivery of deterministic software features.
3. Model Uncertainty: Unlike traditional systems with fixed rules, AI models:
More than that, AI models may behave inconsistently over time (e.g., model drift), which leads to:
4. Cross-Functional Requirements: AI projects require close collaboration across data science, business, and IT — with different vocabularies and mindsets. Here is the point where Business Analyst could demonstrate creativity in collaboration with teams and excellence in communication with stakeholders!
5. Specific AI Testing: You can’t test an AI system like software; its behavior depends on evolving inputs and data. That is why:
That is why simple (from the first sight) projects become very complicated in a few months after the kick-off meeting. They repeat the same developmental pattern of evolving: overpromise at the start, underdelivering at the middle stage of project development (executing, monitoring & control), project failure as a result.
So, what AI project needs to become successful?
That will set your organization up for success in AI project management. It’s essential — Project Manager in AI project is supposed not just to launch the model, but to guide it through the real-world pitfalls, swamps and continuous integration/testing for AI.
We will further discuss this hot topic in the next publication of GrafFIN’s blog.